Sunday, November 06, 2005

Outlier

With most polls having next year's gubernatorial contest seperated by six points, it is pretty hard to take serious the Sun poll released today that claims a 15-point lead for Mayor O'Malley.

One problem I have is with the questions: the candidates in the Ehrlich/O'Malley and Ehrlich/Duncan question with identified with their party affiliation. That can skew numbers disproportionately in a state such as Maryland. Especially in the Sun's own poll when the question was not asked that way back in April.

The data is skewed; the Sun made it that way.

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