Saturday, April 03, 2010

2010 Baseball Predictions

I did such a great job last year, (though to be fair, I got five out of eight of my division and wild-card picks right) that it's time to give it another run.

AL East: Tampa Bay, New York, Boston, Baltimore, Toronto
AL Central: Minnesota, Detroit, Chicago, Cleveland, Kansas City
AL West: Los Angeles, Seattle, Texas, Oakland

NL East: Philadelphia, Florida, Atlanta, New York, Washington
NL Central: Milwaukee, St. Louis, Chicago, Cincinnati, Houston, Pittsburgh
NL West: Colorado, Los Angeles, Arizona, San Francisco, San Diego

AL Champion: Tampa Bay
NL Champion: Philadelphia

World Champion:
Philadelphia

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Sunday, April 05, 2009

2009 Baseball Predicitions

With the season starting today, I'd figure I should make my picks now:

AL East: Tampa Bay, Boston, New York, Baltimore, Toronto
AL Central: Cleveland, Minnesota, Chicago, Detroit, Kansas City
AL West: Los Angeles, Oakland, Texas, Seattle

NL East: Philadelphia, New York, Atlanta, Florida, Washington
NL Central: Chicago, St. Louis, Milwaukee, Cincinnati, Houston, Pittsburgh
NL West: Los Angeles, Arizona, Colorado, San Francisco, San Diego

AL Champion: Tampa Bay
NL Champion: Los Angeles

World Champion: Tampa Bay

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Sunday, September 21, 2008

Incredible

If you haven't read Tom Verducci's column in this week's Sports Illustrated regarding the demise of Yankee Stadium, go read it now.

An amazing piece by Verducci.

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Tuesday, August 26, 2008

Vegas, Baby

I think it's starting to become apparent that the relocation of the Washington Nationals isn't really working out for a lot of people:
Ah, the dog days of summer. Time to kick back, relax on the porch with a tall glass of lemonade and listen to the quintessential sound of the season: the ballgame on the radio.

These days, however, hardly anyone's tuning in.

The Washington Nationals, last in the National League East and closing fast on a 100-loss season, have attracted the smallest radio following in the major leagues, according to audience research from Arbitron.

How low? So low that even the microscopic numbers reported by the rating service might be too low to be statistically valid.

The team's broadcasts on the station formerly known as WWWT (107.7 FM and 1500 AM) attracted a cumulative weekly audience of about 26,500 from May through July, the most recent period measured by Arbitron.

The Nationals' following on radio isn't even in the same league as teams with similar records, even those in metropolitan areas with far fewer people than Washington.

And here is the kicker:
The low figures give the Nationals the unusual distinction of being a team that has far more people watching its games in person (average attendance has been 29,990 per game) than listening to them on radio.
So explain to me again why the D.C. City Council appropriated $611 million to build a new stadium for a team that in no way, shape, or form can make it financially?

Look, I've been to two Nats game this year. The new ballpark is nice (certainly nicer than the dump they use to play in), albeit nondescript. But nobody is going to the games. Nobody is listening to the games on radio, and nobody is watching them on television. How is this team going to survive?

Does anybody doubt that the Washington Nationals will be based out of Las Vegas or some other metropolitan area within ten years?

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Thursday, July 31, 2008

Standing Pat

If you had told me a few months ago that 4 PM on July 31st would come and go with the Orioles making no significant moves, I would have thought you were crazy. Instead, it happened today. And it makes perfect sense. And this is what makes me feel better about it:
Despite not making any moves at baseball's non-waiver trade deadline, Orioles club president Andy MacPhail said today that the plan to build for the future is still in place. It's just that he didn't believe any of the offers he fielded matched his inventory.

"We had opportunities to do something stupid and we didn't do it," said MacPhail, in a teleconference roughly an hour after the trade deadline passed.
Let's face it; how many times have the Orioles done something stupid at the trading deadline (or, frankly, at other times) and done it. The last time the Orioles made a deal that could have made a significant impact was trading Larry Bigbie at the 2005 deadline to Colorado for Eric Byrnes, who was non-tendered at the arbitration deadline, anyway. And the last time the Orioles had a veteran they traded at the deadline was five years ago, when Sidney Ponson was shipped to the Giants for Kurt Ainsworth (pitched 33 innings for the Orioles), Damian Moss (made 10 starts, got nontendered, and washed out with Tampa Bay in 2004, and the start of the trade, prospect Ryan Hannaman (who last pitched professional with Frederick in 2004).

I'm glad to see that MacPhail could have pulled the trigger, but didn't just trade guys for the sake of trading guys. The veterans who could help a club this year (Huff, Payton, Millar, Hernandez, maybe Mora, Bradford, and Walker) will all clear waivers anyway and there is always the possibility that Brian Roberts, George Sherrill, or others could be traded for more significant pieces in the offseason.

Besides, not tearing the team apart will help morale and hopefully help the team reach .500 at the end of the season. Which, considering what I said in March, is a pretty damn big fear.

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Sunday, July 13, 2008

Halfway

Back in March I launched into my baseball predictions for the season. Let's see where I am....
AL East: Boston, New York, Tampa Bay, Toronto, Baltimore
Amazingly, this isn't that far off when you think about it, only with the Rays and Yankees switched, both for second-third and for the wild-card (in which Tampa Bay has a 2.5 game lead over Minnesota, even with the Rays end of first half collapse). The biggest surprise right now is that the O's, at 45-48, are only ten wins off the total some genius said they would have all year. The Rays are better than they are playing, and I think that the Rays, Red Sox, and Yankees are going to go to the wire.
AL Central: Detroit, Cleveland, Minnesota, Chicago, Kansas City
Yeah, this was not as hot. The Tigers started the year in a funk, and only recently pulled out of it and clawed into third. The Indians collapsed and dealt C.C. Sabathia to the Brewers. I still don't think the White Sox are as good as advertised and that at the end of the year the Twins now will win the division.
AL West: Los Angeles, Seattle, Texas, Oakland
I was never sold on the Mariners winning the division. But I never expected the worst record in the American League, with Bedard probably out the door very soon. Oakland obviously is much better than I expected, though it's hard to see them finishing ahead of Texas after trading Rich Harden. The Angels are going to cruise from here.
NL East: New York, Philadelphia, Atlanta, Florida, Washington
I get saved only because the Phillies and the Marlins haven't exactly been wordlbeaters. The Mets stunk for most of the first half (not something you want to see from the team you predicted would win it all) and are lucky that they haven't been blown out of the water are are in second. Washington was and easy team to predict, because we all knew the Nationals would be terrible. The Marlins at this point may be the team to beat, depending on what other pieces the Mets and Phillies can add.
NL Central: Milwaukee, Chicago, Cincinnati, St. Louis, Houston, Pittsburgh
I don't think anybody had the Cardinals doing much of anything this year. Now they have two guys not named Pujols with 20 HR (Ryan Ludwick and Rick Ankiel) and they have a half-game lead over the Brewers for the wild-card. I figured that the Cubs would take a step back, but enter the break tied with the Angels for the best record in baseball. Two of the top three teams in this division are likely to make the playoffs, and it's hard to argue right now against the Cubs and the Brewers given their pitching acquisitions.
NL West: Colorado, Arizona, Los Angeles, San Diego, San Francisco
So I thought that the Rockies would win the division and the Diamondbacks would win the wild-card from what I thought was the best division in baseball. Yeah, not so much. The Rockies are 17 games under .500 and still have a prayer because the division leading D-backs are also under .500. That puts Colorado only 8 games out of first. San Diego's self-destruction from the one-game playoff for the wildcard last year to the second worst record in baseball is pretty sad, though predictable. And the Giants seem to be better without Barry Bonds than with.
AL Champion: Detroit
NL Champion: New York

World Champions: New York Mets
Yeah, those are both hard to see right now. At this point, I say the Angels and the Cubs, with the Angels winning in six.

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Tuesday, June 10, 2008

We could see it coming

This, unfortunately, was a foregone conclusion:
The Orioles announced today that they have designated right-handed pitcher Steve Trachsel for assignment and selected the contract of first baseman Oscar Salazar from Triple-A Norfolk.

Trachsel, 37, was 2-5 with an 8.39 ERA in 10 games (8 starts) this season.
I have no earthly idea why they brought up Salazar, of all people, a guy who hasn't played in the majors in six years. Nor do I have any idea why they didn't call up an infielder who was already on the 40-man roster (Eider Torres, Scott Moore), another left-handed hitting outfielder (Jeff Fiorentino) or add somebody more useful to the 40-man roster (Mike Costanzo, Chris Roberson).

Sad to see Trachsel go, but the pitching staff is developing just fine and there is really no need for him to take up any more space on the active roster...

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Saturday, May 31, 2008

YES! YES! YES!

This may be the most important news for the Orioles yet:
After 36 years, it appears as if the city's name will make a return to the Orioles' road uniforms.

The Sun
has learned that the Orioles are in the process of filing the required paperwork with Major League Baseball to add "Baltimore" to their road jerseys, replacing the nickname of the club that has adorned the away uniforms since 1973, according to a source with knowledge of the plans. The uniform change would go into effect for the 2009 season.
Words cannot possibly describe how important and awesome this truly is. All I can say is that it's about damn time......

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Monday, May 19, 2008

Being Generally Asinine

During a relatively interesting piece on Bobby Valentine by the generally not-annoying Jon Heyman, we get this:
Valentine even supported his old boss Bush for president, which only goes to show that nobody's perfect.
Does that really have any purpose in a column postulating why Valentine isn't managing in the majors? Not really. Just an asinine comment dropped into an unrelated story for no particular reason by someone who should know better......

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Saturday, May 17, 2008

That's 7 of 8.....

.....and it just makes you want to sing (I'm just happy I finally found this in a form that can be embedded):

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Thursday, May 15, 2008

Quarterpole

We are one-fourth of the way into this pretty surprising Orioles season, considering even eternal fans like this guy were prediction doom, gloom, and 107 losses.

What is shocking about the Orioles 21-19 start has less to do with the fact that this team is 2 over .500, but the fact that this team is far from firing on all cylinders:
  • Nick Markakis is only hitting .261, and is 1 for his last 17
  • Ramon Hernandez has been hurt off and on, and is hitting .211
  • The .246 team batting average is third worst in the American League
  • Luke Scott has the highest average on the team at .271.....despite hitting .198 in the last month, hitting .133 against lefties, and .194 on the road
  • Steve Trachsel......'nuff said.
The fact of the matter is that despite that, this team can win ball games, even if they spot the defending champs a 3-0 lead two nights in a row. The bullpen has been mostly phenomenal, the starting pitching has done its job (keeping us in games) and the team is playing with confidence. It has been a fun group to watch.

Now, at the quarterpole, let's talk about the Most Valuable Orioles for 2008:

  1. Dave Trembley: Sure, he isn't an active player. But it is hard to argue with the impact he has had on this club. Remember, the preponderance of players on this 2008 team were also on the 2007 team; that team was nine games out 40 games in, and was 11 games under .500 when Sam Perlozzo got canned. Trembley has had a year and a Spring Training to implement his philosophy and his system with his staff and his players. It's working.
  2. Jim Johnson: Where would the bullpen be without this guy? He was a starter in the minors and had brief cameos in '06 and '07, but he has been the stopper out of the bullpen this year, including his amazing duel with Manny Ramirez on Tuesday that ended with a 1-2-3 double play to kill a Red Sox rally.
  3. George Sherill: Sure, it hasn't been pretty, but Sherill has stepped into the closers role and gotten the job done when it counts.
2008 has been more than we can ask for. Let's hope it keeps up. But remember this: the 2002 overachieving squad got to 63-63 on August 23rd, only to go 4-32 down the stretch, so we're not even close to seeing this team be where it needs to be quite yet...

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Wednesday, April 09, 2008

Bad Planning

Just because Andy MacPhail is in charge doesn't mean mistakes don't get made:
For one day, Adam Jones will get to pay homage to a hero. Jones, Baltimore's 22-year-old center fielder, was chosen as his team's representative to wear No. 42 Tuesday on Jackie Robinson Day, a tribute to one of the game's greatest legends. Jones, who has read several books about Robinson, termed the opportunity "a tremendous honor."
Good for Jones. Why is this a mistake? It's not Jones' fault. It's just the fact that Tuesday is Adam Jones t-shirt night, so the player of honor will not even be wearing the number that he normally wears, the one that will be on the t-shirt being given out to fans.

Most years, the O's would get beat up for such a mistake, but having the best record in baseball helps...

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Saturday, April 05, 2008

Good Things to Come

See the future:
(Matt) Wieters, the fifth overall pick out of Georgia Tech last June, homered in each of his first two official professional at-bats after walking in the opening inning, leading the host Keys to a 7-3 win over Lynchburg in the Single-A Carolina League opener for both teams.

While his first homer, an opposite-field shot down the right-field line, barely cleared the fence, his second - a shot to left - sailed over a 28-foot fence behind the outfield wall.
Awesome...

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Sunday, March 30, 2008

55-107

You can never really discount the optimism one has on Opening Day, when all 30 teams and all of their fans can wax poetic about how this is their year to win the World Series. Of course, if you are a realistic Orioles fan, you've probably come to grips with the fact that this is not going to happen in 2008. Or 2009. Or probably 2010.

I for one, wouldn't have it any other way. Finally, despite my own worries, andy MacPhail has is fully in charge of baseball operations. This is his project. He is the one who got a load of prospects and players for both Erik Bedeard and Miguel Tejada, and hopefully soon Brian Roberts as well. MacPhail is calling the shots and for once, the Orioles rebuilding project looks like it is going in the right direction.

It is going to come at a short term price, however. The team is going to be bad this year. The starting pitching from top to bottom is suspect. Beyond Roberts and Markakis, the hitting his worrisome. Luis Hernandez as the starting shortstop troubles me given his play in the spring. We still have $13 million tied up in albatrosses Aubrey Huff and Jay Gibbons. This season is going to be rough, and I think 55 wins is probably the most one can reasonably expect from this team. I hope they prove me wrong.

The future is where the focus should be on. We've got Markakis, and we've got Adam Jones. But we also have a load of prospects on the way: Radhames Liz, Hayden Penn, Cory Doyne, Chorye Spoone, Bob McCrory, Brandon Erbe, Chris Tillman, Billy Rowell, Brandon Snyder, Nolan Reimold, and of course Matt Wieters. We are fortunate that we have this future to look forward to it what is going to be a rough and tumble present...

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Monday, March 24, 2008

Baseball Predictions

Since the season starts at 6 am Tuesday Morning, I'd figure I should make my picks now:

AL East: Boston, New York, Tampa Bay, Toronto, Baltimore
AL Central: Detroit, Cleveland, Minnesota, Chicago, Kansas City
AL West: Los Angeles, Seattle, Texas, Oakland

NL East: New York, Philadelphia, Atlanta, Florida, Washington
NL Central: Milwaukee, Chicago, Cincinnati, St. Louis, Houston, Pittsburgh
NL West: Colorado, Arizona, Los Angeles, San Diego, San Francisco

AL Champion: Detroit
NL Champion: New York

World Champions: New York Mets

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Tuesday, March 18, 2008

Knuckling Under

ESPN's Jim Caple takes on the knuckleball. Hilarity doesn't ensue, but it's funny to see a civilian try and catch the knuckler:

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Sunday, March 09, 2008

They'll give anybody a fourth chance

If you can throw above 90 MPH, and you have a pulse, you may have a chance:
Sidney Ponson and the Texas Rangers agreed to a minor league contract Sunday.

Ponson last pitched May 12 for the Minnesota Twins, who released him 10 days later. He was 2-5 with a 6.93 ERA in seven starts last season.

The 31-year-old right-hander has won at least 10 games three times in his major league career, including a career-high 17 wins with Baltimore and San Francisco in 2003.
Amazing. The guy has been a head case who can't get hitters out, and he gets a major league contract.....

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Monday, March 03, 2008

Attention Getter

If there is one thing that Orioles OF Luke Scott (left) is known for, it has little do with his baseball prowess. Acquired from Houston in the Miguel Tejada trade, people know Scott less for the fact that he hit 31 homers for Round Rock in the Pacific Coast League in 2005, and more for the fact that Scott chooses to avail himself of a fundamental Constitutional right.

So it was probably only a matter of time before we saw a story like this from Sun reporter Jeff Zrebiec:
Orioles manager Dave Trembley knew about the intensity, all-out hustle and powerful uppercut swing. But he still had one question about his new left fielder, so he approached Luke Scott while Scott was shagging fly balls last week.

"Talk to me about the gun situation," Trembley said to Scott.

Trembley, who has never fired a gun and joked that he wouldn't know the difference between a water pistol and a BB gun, had read about Scott's thoughts on gun control and about how the player almost always carries a concealed firearm...

..."He very quickly said to me, 'Second Amendment, right to bear arms,' " Trembley recalled. "He said it's not a big deal. He'll never have one here. To me, it's a nonissue."
Obviously it's an issue to somebody on Calvert Street, or else the story would not have wound up in the paper.

To be fair to Zrebiec, he at least went out to detail some of the reasons that ballplayers just might want to be prepared to defend themselves:
[Nick] Markakis said he was at a gas station in Georgia five or six years ago when somebody who was armed tried to force his way into his truck. Markakis, who didn't have a gun in his car, got away unscathed, but the day left an impression on him.

A similar incident helped persuade Scott to obtain a handgun. Scott, then a student at Indian River (Fla.) Community College, was at a party in Delray Beach when somebody pulled a gun on him....

....Scott told of one situation several years back when he was at a Houston gas station and was confronted by a man carrying a shank.

"I didn't pull my gun on him," Scott said. "I would have if he had gotten close enough, and I would have shot him if he wouldn't have backed off. But all I had to do was lift up my shirt and put my hand on [the gun] and I said, 'Can I help you?' He stopped in his tracks. Who knows what that saved me?
Scott's position on guns was also chronicled a few years back on an ESPN story about athletes and guns.

I take solace in the fact that ballplayers are exercising their Constitutional rights and that the Orioles have several players like Scott, Markakis, and Jamie Walker who are willing to speak out about their experiences and why they choose to protect themselves. I just find it somewhat puzzling that the story about Scott's outspoken view on gun rights and self-defense drew attention now, in the middle of Spring Training, as opposed to back in December when the trade happened.

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Monday, February 11, 2008

I'm lumping three sports topics together

Orioles: Orioles bring back Steve Trachsel. Well, that's the move that'll put us over the top in the AL East.

All kidding aside, we needed a veteran starter, and he came cheap. No harm no foul.

NFL: Steelers to keep grass. That's completely ridiculous, because I think the Pasadena Chargers play youth football on a better field over at Lake Waterford Park than the Steelers play on at Heinz Field. It's a completely bush league situation.

Baseball: John Rocker says Selig knew he was on steroids. Enh. It's John Rocker. How credible is it?

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Friday, February 08, 2008

Our long national nightmare is over.....

Erik Bedard is finally a Seattle Mariner:
Erik Bedard, the Orioles' first true ace since Mike Mussina, was traded today to the Seattle Mariners for five players, including promising young outfielder Adam Jones.

The Orioles also will receive left-handed reliever George Sherrill and three pitching prospects -- Chris Tillman, Kam Mickolio and Tony Butler.

The move caps months of trade dialogue surrounding the 28-year-old Bedard, the left-hander who attracted inquiries from more than 10 teams after a season in which he went 13-5 with a 3.16 ERA and set a single-season franchise record with 221 strikeouts.
And for once with an Orioles deal, everybody loves the trade.

Now, we unload Brian Roberts to the Cubs as I mentioned before, and we can finally, after ten years, allow the rebuilding to begin...

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